0:01 We need to look at this through several
0:06 You can look at it through the eyes of
0:08 the average Texan proletariat. That
0:11 perspective exists too. You can look at
0:12 it through the eyes of farmers, or
0:13 through the eyes of the stock exchange.
0:15 I suggest looking at it through the eyes
0:17 of Europeans. In many places in Europe,
0:19 they were popping champagne. They were
0:22 gloating a lot about it. And, uh,
0:25 changes will happen regardless.
0:29 Will the transatlantic US-Europe
0:31 alliance remain strong?
0:33 Will it follow a new track?
0:36 Trump does not sympathize with European
0:38 elites. Trump does not sympathize with
0:40 their migration policies. Trump does not
0:43 sympathize with their economic agendas.
0:46 And yet, a Third World economic trade
0:52 A Third World energy war is in full
0:56 And here I would make one simple point.
0:59 There is a German Ministry of Defense
1:04 memo that leaked this Wednesday.
1:09 And it clearly states that we shouldn't
1:11 anger the Americans, we shouldn't talk
1:13 sharply about European sovereignty, and
1:15 we shouldn't abruptly withdraw from
1:17 joint defense projects and arms
1:20 And the slogan that by 2030 the European
1:23 Union must purchase at least 50%of its
1:25 equipment from European production—
1:27 today it's only 15%.
1:31 In principle, this could lead to a
1:34 deterioration of transatlantic relations
1:37 directly under Trump.
1:39 Accordingly, the changes that will
1:41 happen consist of only one thing. Trump
1:44 is a bright representative, and the
1:46 Republicans are, of unbridled capitalism
1:49 First of all, if we consider current
1:52 European politics and the Democrats, we
1:55 can speak of the moralization of foreign
1:58 policy and the demoralization of
2:03 That is, when they pay attention to
2:05 social issues, to the deep-seated
2:07 morality in their society, and the
2:09 moralization of the economy.
2:12 Meaning, pragmatic steps of a capitalist
2:14 nature are ignored because morality is
2:17 placed at the forefront.
2:19 It is morally wrong to buy Russian gas.
2:22 Morally, it is economically profitable.
2:25 And now it is clearly expressed that
2:27 Europeans will resort to a strategy of
2:32 Americans might receive a very strong,
2:37 And it seems to me this has already
2:39 begun. A distancing from the war in Iran
2:42 by elites in America will begin, which
2:44 will have to be managed between Rubio
2:49 Accordingly, the absence of war in the
2:51 Middle East with US involvement means
2:53 the stabilization of energy markets.
2:57 And looking at how the stock market
3:00 dynamic jumps, how indices jump, and the
3:04 activity today, stability and
3:06 predictability are better for everyone—
3:10 for Europeans, for us, and for Americans
3:13 —than the constant games that Trump
3:19 And in this regard, Trump's entire game
3:22 now will boil down to the need to carry
3:24 out certain processes that will be
3:26 difficult to dismantle.
3:29 This struggle between the moralization
3:31 of society and, uh, the strengthening of
3:33 double standards will be clearly
3:37 And among Europeans, I will say this:
3:39 all the right-wingers who today relate
3:41 pragmatically in Europe to
3:46 the Russia-Ukraine war, all the
3:48 right-wingers who support buying Russian
3:51 gas—all these right-wingers are, in
3:53 essence, transatlanticists, they are for
3:56 NATO, and they will now very intensively
3:59 pivot from Trump to the Democrats.
4:01 This will be a definite change in the
4:03 opposition agenda in Europe. And Trump
4:06 was able to shake that foundation after
4:08 all. He shook up that hornet's nest.
4:11 And we can say that thanks to Trump
4:13 shaking the system, a kind of, well,
4:15 peculiar democracy is returning—not
4:18 representative, but real democracy,
4:20 which in the EU is quite heavily in
4:23 question in many countries.