0:00 In early October, the leaders of Finland
0:01 and Norway held a direct phone call with
0:04 Russian President Vladimir Putin. The
0:06 official aim of which was to convey
0:07 messages directly to President Putin
0:10 regarding future negotiations to help
0:12 end the war. While the call was prepared
0:14 in consultation with both the Ukrainian
0:16 president Vladimir Zalinski and US
0:19 special envoy Steve Wickoff, it caused
0:21 some constonnation in Europe and was
0:23 criticized by Denmark, Estonia, and
0:25 Lithuania, who suggested it undermined
0:27 European unity and was unlikely to
0:30 achieve much. More broadly though, the
0:32 callers reignited a long-running debate
0:34 in Europe over who should become
0:36 Europe's primary mediator over the
0:38 conflict in Ukraine. This week, Zalinsky
0:40 called on Europe to choose a single
0:42 representative by the end of this month,
0:44 but ideally at a coalition of the
0:45 willing summit next Thursday. So, in
0:48 this video, we'll explain the quiet
0:50 riffs between the Nordics and Baltics,
0:53 why negotiating with Putin has become
0:55 such a divisive issue, and who might
0:57 become Europe's negotiator in chief.
1:06 We sometimes make mistakes in our
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1:10 really important for us to be as open
1:11 and transparent as possible. That's why
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1:15 Editorial. We respond to your
1:16 criticisms, answer your questions, and
1:18 explain what we got wrong. Watch the
1:20 show by clicking the link in the
1:21 description. We'll start by explaining
1:23 what this rift is all about.
1:25 Essentially, in late October, the
1:27 leaders of two Nordic countries, Norway
1:29 center-left Prime Minister, Yunas Gara
1:31 and Finland centerright President
1:33 Alexander Stub, held a phone call with
1:35 Putin, which they used to quote, "Convey
1:38 messages directly regarding future
1:40 negotiations." Stub said that an end to
1:42 the war would not be achieved through
1:44 silence and that their call had put the
1:46 peace process back on track. Afterwards,
1:49 Russia's foreign minister, Sergey
1:50 Lavrov, played down the importance of
1:52 the call, telling a panel of African
1:54 news editors, "It seems nothing new was
1:56 discussed," and adding, "This just shows
1:58 the Europeans's desire to insert
2:00 themselves into the negotiating
2:02 process." At the same time, Lavough said
2:04 that the war will continue and even, I
2:07 will say, is likely to escalate, while
2:09 Putin said that the call was the right
2:11 thing to do. Inside Europe, the call
2:13 went down particularly badly with other
2:15 Nordic leaders and the Baltic states.
2:18 Denmark center left prime minister Meta
2:20 Friedrien accused Stub and Stoa of going
2:22 solo and said that she's very skeptical
2:25 about this Norwegian and Finnish
2:27 initiative. I honestly don't know what
2:29 those two countries think they can
2:30 achieve with this. She also said I see
2:32 no signs that Russia desires peace with
2:35 Europe. I believe that we should keep
2:37 Europe united rather than going it
2:39 alone. Similarly, Sweden's center-right
2:41 Prime Minister Ulf Christensen said that
2:43 he had quote rather low expectations for
2:46 these kinds of talks, saying, "My view
2:48 is that everyone wants peace except
2:50 Putin." Criticism also came from
2:53 officials in the Baltic states, those on
2:55 NATO's eastern flank, which are
2:57 generally more hawkish on Russia, with
2:59 Lithuania's foreign minister, Castutus
3:01 Budrris, saying that quote, "Engaging
3:03 with Putin one by one has never worked
3:06 for Europe and that any contact with
3:08 Russia should be backed by a united
3:10 position." While Marco Mikkelson,
3:12 chairman of Estonia's foreign affairs
3:14 committee, said that the call with Putin
3:16 had caused a small crack in Nordic
3:18 Baltic unity. For their part, Stub and
3:21 Stura were careful not to portray
3:23 themselves as speaking on behalf of
3:24 Europe. Stura explicitly said, "We have
3:27 not set out to speak on behalf of anyone
3:29 other than ourselves." And in response
3:31 to criticism that neither country had
3:33 informed the rest of Europe beforehand,
3:35 he told Politico, "We consult with each
3:37 other in the Nordic family. But it is
3:39 not a mechanism which requires a yes
3:41 from all the Nordics or from 27
3:44 Europeans or beyond." So why is this
3:46 apparently such a big deal? Why
3:48 shouldn't the leaders of Norway and
3:50 Finland be able to call Putin if they
3:52 want to, especially if it has the
3:53 support of both Ukraine and the US?
3:56 Well, essentially this issue has revived
3:58 a long-running debate inside Europe. How
4:00 to deal with Putin. There's basically
4:02 two camps here. Those who believe that
4:04 Putin is an imperialist dictator who
4:06 isn't to be negotiated with, and those
4:08 who argue that any peace deal over the
4:10 war in Ukraine will realistically
4:12 involve talking to Putin. For context,
4:15 early this year around February March
4:17 time, some European leaders, most
4:19 notably French President Emanuel Maccron
4:20 and Belgium's Prime Minister Bart DVA
4:23 began suggesting that the EU should
4:24 negotiate directly with Russia. Deva
4:27 argued that as well as ending the
4:28 conflict in Ukraine, Europe needed to
4:30 restore access to cheap energy, while
4:32 Macron saw it as a way to give the EU
4:35 more control over negotiations rather
4:37 than leaving it all to the US. Over the
4:39 following weeks and months, several big
4:41 names were floated as potential European
4:43 mediators. From former German Chancellor
4:45 Angler Merkel, who rejected the idea, to
4:48 the former Italian Prime Minister Mario
4:50 Draghi, who was later ruled out by
4:52 Italy's current prime minister, Georgia
4:54 Maloney, to the EU's foreign affairs
4:56 chief, Kaakalis, a former Estonian prime
4:59 minister who's popular in the Baltics,
5:01 but deemed too hawkish on Russia in
5:03 Western Europe. More pertinently,
5:05 Finnish President Alexander Stub has
5:07 also been floated for the role of
5:08 Europe's negotiator and chief. According
5:11 to three European diplomats speaking to
5:12 Blitzo, Sto would be a sensible option
5:15 for two main reasons. One, his close
5:17 relationship with Donald Trump. The two
5:19 play golf together at Maraago and Trump
5:21 claimed in October 2025 that the pair
5:23 had been friends for a long time. And
5:25 two, Finland's strong understanding of
5:27 Russia, a relationship that has involved
5:29 centuries of strategic friction and
5:31 territorial conflict. Moreover, Stub has
5:34 a personal background in international
5:35 affairs and diplomacy and has rare good
5:37 relations with all three of Zalinski,
5:40 Trump and Putin, whom he very recently
5:43 described as a very perceptive, very
5:45 analytical, and very wellprepared. In
5:48 this light, however, the stub store
5:50 phone call looks less of an innocent way
5:51 of judging Putin's state of mind and
5:54 more like a calculated effort to
5:55 position Stub as the voice of Europe.
5:57 This is why the phone call caused such a
5:59 rift inside Europe and shows how
6:02 settling on a single European mediator
6:04 will be politically difficult. Poland
6:06 and the Baltics, for instance, will
6:07 probably prefer a more hawkish figure
6:09 like Callus, while Western European
6:11 countries would plump for someone like
6:13 Stub or Macron who have shown leadership
6:16 on international issues before. as well
6:18 as those intraEU geographic divisions.
6:21 There are also questions about whether a
6:23 non-EU figure either from a non-EU
6:25 country like Norway or a retired
6:27 politician like Merkel or Draghi would
6:30 be a better choice given that the
6:32 conflict affects Europe, the continent,
6:34 and not just the EU. Ultimately, this
6:37 debate has dragged on for almost a year
6:39 now, prompting Zilinsky to basically
6:40 tell Europe to get a move on and choose
6:42 a single representative. This week
6:44 during a trip to Denmark, Silinsky told
6:46 reporters, "I think that in November,
6:49 not later, we need to accept who will
6:51 represent Europe in negotiations." He
6:53 also said a single representative from
6:55 Europe at peace talks would be better
6:57 than the continent just presenting their
6:59 answers to Ukraine. More specifically,
7:01 Zilinsky said that he hopes to see a
7:03 decision in Germany on the 19th, next
7:05 Thursday, when there's a meeting of the
7:07 coalition of the willing. So, we'll have
7:09 to keep an eye on this to see whether
7:10 Europe can finally speak as one. If
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